Turkish Dried Fig Prices Hold Firm as Hot, Dry Weather Supports Quality
Turkish dried fig FOB prices are flat in mid‑August 2026, with hot, dry weather in key Aegean basins supporting quality and keeping the short‑term trend stable.
Prices
All Malatya FOB quotations for conventional Turkish dried figs are flat versus the previous update, with no visible movement across sizes or between natural and Lerida styles. Organic fig products out of İzmir show only fractional week‑on‑week changes, confirming a broadly sideways market.
(USD-based offers converted at an indicative 1.05 USD/EUR.)
Supply & Demand
Dried fig production in Türkiye is concentrated in the Büyük and Küçük Menderes basins of Aydın and İzmir provinces, which together account for the vast majority of national output and exports. Recent studies confirm that around two‑thirds of Türkiye’s dried fig exports originate from Aydın, with İzmir providing most of the remaining share. This structural dominance underpins the reference role of Turkish prices in the global dried fig trade.
There are no fresh export policy changes or logistical disruptions reported in the last few days specific to figs. European demand is seasonally modest but gradually building into the autumn consumption peak. Given the absence of new crop or trade shocks, the current balance between seller and buyer expectations is keeping offers broadly unchanged, with some preference for better visual quality and food‑safety‑certified lots.
Weather & Crop Conditions (TR)
Weather in Malatya over 13–15 August is hot and dry, with daytime highs around 31–34°C and no rain forecast, creating favourable conditions for drying and on‑tree fruit maturation. In the key Aegean basins around İzmir and Aydın, temperatures are even higher at 34–38°C, again under mostly sunny, dry skies and only moderate winds, which is supportive of drying speed and reduces short‑term fungal pressure.
Research from Turkish fig institutes highlights that unseasonal August rainfall and high humidity can cut yields by up to 20% in leading districts such as Germencik, İncirliova and Efeler. At present, however, no such adverse events are reported this week, so weather is a mildly bullish factor for quality but neutral for overall volume expectations.
Fundamentals & Market Drivers
- Production leadership: Türkiye remains the world’s largest dried fig producer and exporter, with Sarılop/Aydın figs setting the benchmark for international pricing.
- Quality focus: Long‑term projects on improved cultivars and good agricultural practices aim to enhance quality and reduce mycotoxin risks, encouraging buyers to pay premiums for certified supply.
- Demand tone: No fresh macro or consumer‑side shocks specific to figs have emerged in the last three days; demand from Europe and the Middle East is steady and price‑sensitive, favouring stable, not aggressive, pricing.
Trading Outlook
- Short‑term bias (next 1–2 weeks): Sideways to mildly firm. Hot, dry Turkish weather supports quality and allows sellers to defend current price ideas.
- For buyers: Consider covering near‑term needs at current levels, particularly for higher grades and organic, where upside risk from any late weather event is non‑negligible.
- For sellers: Maintain offer discipline but remain flexible on lower grades or larger volumes to stimulate demand ahead of the main autumn buying cycle.
3‑Day Price Indication (TR, FOB)
Given stable fundamentals and benign short‑term weather, Turkish dried fig FOB prices are expected to remain broadly unchanged over the next three days:
- Malatya, TR: Conventional dried figs (natural & Lerida) – stable, with a flat to slightly firm tone for premium sizes.
- İzmir/Aegean, TR: Organic and processed figs – stable; any moves likely confined within a narrow ±1–2% band around current EUR levels.