Vietnam Dried Guava FOB Hanoi Edges Higher on Firm Export Demand

Dried guava FOB Hanoi inched up this week, with offers around EUR 4.95/kg, supported by steady export demand and limited pressure from weather or logistics disruptions. The tone is mildly bullish, but gains remain modest amid abundant overall fruit supply from Vietnam. Vietnam’s broader fruit and vegetable sector is enjoying record export momentum in mid‑2026, driven by strong demand for processed products and improved access to high‑value markets. July fruit and vegetable exports hit a record US$1.12 billion, underlining robust appetite for value‑added items like dried fruits. For dried guava processors around Hanoi, this backdrop, combined with seasonally wet but non‑disruptive weather, supports firm to slightly higher FOB prices into early September.

Prices

The latest indication for conventional white dried guava, origin Vietnam, FOB Hanoi, stands at about EUR 4.95/kg, up roughly 1% from the previous quote near EUR 4.90/kg one week earlier (USD/EUR ~1.08). Over the past three weeks, prices have been broadly range‑bound around EUR 4.90–4.95/kg, suggesting a stable but gently rising market rather than a sharp rally.

Supply & Demand

Vietnam’s fruit and vegetable exports are on a strong upward path in 2026, with total shipments reaching about US$4.77–4.83 billion in the first seven months, up more than 20% year‑on‑year. Processed products now contribute a growing share of this value as exporters move deeper into drying, freezing and other value‑adding steps. This environment supports consistent demand for dried specialty items such as guava from buyers in China, the EU and other high‑value markets.

Although durian and other major fruits dominate export headlines, smaller processed fruit categories benefit from the same trade infrastructure and market access improvements. Recent trade promotion with China has specifically targeted fruit processing and distribution links, improving channels for Vietnamese fruit‑based products. For dried guava exporters, this likely translates into steady inquiries and relatively firm volumes, even if the segment remains niche in official statistics.

Weather & Crop Conditions (VN)

In Hanoi and the Red River Delta, current weather is seasonally hot and humid with scattered showers and thunderstorms. The national meteorological service and independent forecasters expect temperatures around 30–35°C with intermittent rain and storms through the weekend, then gradually drier conditions early next week. So far, no alerts indicate severe flooding or prolonged extremes that would significantly threaten fruit orchards or disrupt short‑haul logistics to dryers and processors.

For guava, which tolerates tropical heat and periodic rainfall, this pattern is largely neutral to slightly positive: moisture supports orchards, while breaks in rainfall allow harvesting and transport to proceed. Short‑term weather is therefore not expected to tighten raw fruit supply in northern Vietnam, keeping input availability adequate for dried guava processors around Hanoi.

Fundamentals & External Factors

Macro‑level fundamentals for Vietnamese processed fruit favor stable to slightly firmer pricing. Exporters are leaning more into processed lines to lift value and mitigate logistics risks, with July’s record export value largely driven by processed products. This strategy, backed by investment in processing and quality standards, supports consistent throughput for dried fruits even when fresh markets are volatile.

Logistics conditions from Vietnam remain manageable, with no major new disruptions reported in late August 2026 for outbound containerized fruit products. Combined with a still‑supportive global demand backdrop, particularly from East Asia and the EU, this points to a balanced but mildly tight market for niche processed items like dried guava, where any incremental buying can lift prices given relatively small volumes.

Trading Outlook

• Short‑term bias: Mildly bullish. Expect FOB Hanoi prices for dried guava to hold in the EUR 4.90–5.00/kg range over the next week, with an upward skew if export inquiries remain firm.
• For buyers: Consider securing near‑term needs promptly; downside appears limited in the short run given strong overall fruit‑export momentum and neutral‑to‑supportive weather.
• For sellers: Gradual price increases are achievable, but aggressive offers above EUR 5.00/kg may face resistance unless supported by tight spot availability or specific quality/value‑added features.

3‑Day Regional Price Indication (VN)

• Hanoi FOB dried guava, white (EUR/kg): 28 Aug: ~4.95; 29 Aug: 4.95–5.00 (steady to slightly firmer); 30 Aug: 4.95–5.05 (firm tone if demand persists).